Cabot Phillips

If you're going to ally yourselves with the US, we're going to just strike indiscriminately and try and pressure you into telling the US, hey, wrap this thing up.

If you're going to ally yourselves with the US, we're going to just strike indiscriminately and try and pressure you into telling the US, hey, wrap this thing up.

Yeah, that's one way of reading it, but I think it's more chaotic and more of a fear of use it or lose it kind of syndrome because as these attacks were coming in and surprising the IRGC, which pretty much had the finger on the trigger, I think they thought, we're next, so let's shoot it before we lose it.

Because again, hitting these civilian targets is just going to galvanize, and it already is,

the countries in the Gulf to ally with the United States and Israel and enter into combat, which appears that we're on the track too because of this very misguided approach by the Iranians.

But not as surprising when you start to realize how fractured their leadership's become.

To this point, we have seen, again, three US service members killed.

To this point, we have seen, again, three US service members killed.

We've seen a number of civilians in Israel also confirmed dead.

We've seen a number of civilians in Israel also confirmed dead.

But from a relative standpoint, when you take into account what we believe to be the thousands of missiles the Iranians have fired off so far, have you been surprised by the relative lack of success that Iran has been able to have and the relative lack of damage that they've been able to inflict as a result?

But from a relative standpoint, when you take into account what we believe to be the thousands of missiles the Iranians have fired off so far, have you been surprised by the relative lack of success that Iran has been able to have and the relative lack of damage that they've been able to inflict as a result?

again, I kind of go back to the lack of targeting discipline is really what's equating to this very ineffectual missile barrages.

They're not launching the large massed attacks that they did last summer because their command and control has been decapitated.

And in that confusion,

They're making attacks as they see an opportunity rather than coordinating with drones and large mass missile strikes against, say, Israel or one target, but it's scattered across.

So I think this is the real reason behind the ineffectiveness.

That could change.

Hopefully it doesn't.

But this is going to last with this level of intensity, at least for the next few days, as the targets and the threats are actually taken out.