Caitlin Ostroff
speaker
397 appearances
3 recordings
2 series
first heard Feb 2026
last heard 6 Jul
Caitlin Ostroff’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
Trend
recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 3 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 2.
Appearances
In the hours leading up to the spike, yeah, like...
The odds of that are so small that you have to convince me that it's not insider trading at that point.
I mean, I think the main question it raises is, you know, one of the things that I've really been thinking of is how often are people trading on non-public information on these markets?
And, you know, how serious is that?
And that sort of differs a bit depending on who you speak to, because to some degree, these trades on non-public information are somewhat of a feature and not necessarily a quirk.
The idea of prediction markets is that they present themselves as a vehicle to get more accurate information than you might be able to get from traditional sources.
And so if you have a platform where anyone, without saying who they are, can say, I think this is going to happen, I'm putting my money down on it.
It could incentivize people who are either smarter and find different information or know more about an event than the average person to kind of put that out there in a way that can be seen to everyone.
We spoke to their CEO, Shane Coplin, and he was like, you know, the thing with insider trading is that you can see it online.
If there's a suspected insider, like with the Maduro bets, like with the Israel Bet San Ivan, the market can see what's happening and traders can say, hey, I think this is an insider, and maybe that dissuades people from putting money in that market.
You know, there's not really rules about, like, here's the exact parameters of everything you can try and list.
There's not rules around, well, you know, what maybe additional information do you need to collect because the risk of insider trading might be higher here than it is on other types of financial markets.
But Polymarket also has this wider international platform where you can bet on all of these geopolitical markets that aren't on the U.S.
version.
But it is fairly well known that it's not that hard to do that with a VPN.
You just change the country where you appear to be located and you can make all sorts of bets.
Kalshi has always very much maintained that they want to be regulated, that they are trying to be the most secure, most in-line prediction market platform that people can trade on.
And so Kalshi, when you sign up, you have to say who you are.
They collect information on your name, where you live, other basic identifying information that helps clamp down on some of that.
Right, in some cases.
Showing 341–360 of 397 · page 18 of 20
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