Cameron Kusher

speaker

379 appearances 2 recordings 1 series first heard Jul 2026 last heard 8 Sep

Cameron Kusher’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 2 in all, peaking in Sep 2026 with 1.

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The Money Puzzle · Why property bargain hunters can hang tight... this downturn is only starting · 8 Sep 2026 podcast

I'm not naive enough to think that I'm gonna nail this forecast.

I would think I'd like to think that I will, but there's a very good chance that I won't.

I think the reason that it's getting extrapolated at the moment is that the rate of decline is actually accelerating.

And so that's why people are extrapolating what's happened over the last say quarter.

or last couple of months and then pushing that out to forecast.

Now

As you know, markets don't move in a straight line.

And say we get to December.

We know December is a much quieter period for the housing market.

You may not see prices fall as much then as we're seeing at the moment.

But the way a lot of the models work is that they look at the recent performance and then extrapolate that out to give you a decline.

But an 18% decline in the markets, certainly much more than I'm expecting.

That's not to say it won't.

But that would be quite a large fall and all

It definitely has.

I think there's a lot of optimism generally around the Australian housing market that things think, okay, we'll go into a downturn and the market will recover pretty quickly.

But obviously that's not happening this time.

And also just the broader economy, the way it's performing.

I think you go back probably three or four months ago, people thought maybe there weren't going to be any more interest rate hikes.

Fast forward to today, and it looks like there's going to be at least one more, if not two more.

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