Menu
Sign In Search Podcasts Charts People & Topics Add Podcast API Blog Pricing

Casey Handmer

👤 Speaker
748 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

We're not going to run out of natural gas at one gigawatt per year indefinitely.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

Okay, what if we're doing five gigawatts per year?

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

What if we're doing 50 gigawatts per year?

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

What if we're doing 100 gigawatts per year?

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

You can just break the situation.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

Does that make sense?

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

Not to reach prematurely for analogies, but

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

But Henry Kaiser set up the shipyard in Richmond, just down the road here in San Francisco, over near Berkeley, and initially making ships for the British.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

And then by the end of the war, four separate shipyards operating in parallel, to the point where he was bottlenecked on his supply of steel, because steel was rare enough in the war, because everyone was using it for different things.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

that Kaiser Industries went off and built not only a steel mill, but also a steel mine.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

They went and started digging rocks out of the ground to turn into ships.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

And it's the same sort of situation you have here where these massive industrial verticals, and here I'm quite bullish on XAN in particular because the Elon Cinematic Universe has just done so much industrial stuff compared to the Googles and Metas of this world.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

can kind of reach all the way through down into primary material supply if they need to.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

They have nuclear as well.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

They have gas.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

They have coal, all kinds of stuff.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

And actually, this price here is probably driven...

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

more by the delivery cost growth than by the generation cost growth, if that makes sense.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

So when you pay your utility bill, the cost is sometimes broken down by like a delivery cost and a generation cost, sometimes importation costs and things.

Dwarkesh Podcast
China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

And so the delivery cost is the cost of basically what it costs the utility to build and maintain all the power lines that connect