Charlie McElligott

speaker
507 appearances 2 recordings 1 series first heard Mar 2025 last heard Jul 2025

Charlie McElligott’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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That's an artifact of the post COVID economic.
That's right.
We
Yeah, so that matters, right?
You know, that was part of my thesis.
Like look and see the trajectory.
We uh we have these overheated animal spirits Q1 numbers, and then the seasonal adjustments kick in, and we have a gross scare in Q2 or into Q3.
But the other element here was the deep seek story in tech innovation and that market concentration.
And guess what?
There's all sorts, those names aren't just massive parts of index and massive thematic parts, retail investors and hedge fund longs and things like that.
Think
About their impact in the leveraged ETF space, which has just absolutely grown massively.
Just
That's a source of net synthetic negative gamma in the market, which, you know, on their end of day rebalancing into an upday, they've got a ton to buy at the end of the day.
And 80% of those assets happen to be concentrated in kind of like concentric tech disruption circles.
Yeah.
So you add in this massive rethink on what had been the perpetual motion machine of AI CapEx.
And that deep seek shock in NVIDIA trades down seventeen percent kind of after that realization that weekend of what we were looking at.
All of a sudden, a massive valuation shock in a in a in an earnings repricing effectively.
It's not that momentum isn't enough.
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