Charlotte MacDonald

speaker
1,889 appearances 62 recordings 1 series first heard Sep 2010 last heard Apr 2025

Charlotte MacDonald’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Appearances

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Even if you use the figures the French Embassy gave us, London's still only the 23rd biggest French city, which doesn't make for a sexy headline. voice-verified
It's true that the unemployment rate is lower here in the UK than in France, but are taxes really lower? voice-verified
But there's one final thing here. voice-verified
People are leaving France, and in greater numbers than ever before. voice-verified
In a recent article in the New York Times, it was argued that this number had risen 60% since 2000, another sign of France's decline. voice-verified
So London isn't France's sixth city, and it possibly isn't even in the top 60. voice-verified
And perhaps rumours of France's decline are just a little bit exaggerated. voice-verified
This is the short edition of More or Less, first broadcast on the BBC World Service. voice-verified
Hello and welcome to More or Less on the BBC World Service. voice-verified
I'm Charlotte McDonald. voice-verified
This week, can statistics help find the missing Malaysia Airlines plane? voice-verified
In the spring of 1943, the Second World War was raging, and German U-boats were sinking ships in the Atlantic. voice-verified
Desperate to find the Nazi submarines before they could strike, the American and British developed a model to find them, using what is called Bayesian statistics, named after an 18th century British Presbyterian minister called Thomas Bayes. voice-verified
This type of thinking allows you to assess various scenarios at once, even contradictory ones. voice-verified
The probability of each being true is brought together to give you the most likely solution. voice-verified
And if you find new information, you can revise your model easily. voice-verified
Mathematicians working for the American and British navies thought about the different scenarios of where the U-boats could be. voice-verified
They then devised a method of assigning a probability to each one to work out the most probable location of the submarines, adapting their model as they went along. voice-verified
Today, those methods are still being used to find everything from missing people to missing planes. voice-verified
So could techniques from the Second World War be used to help find the missing Malaysia Airlines plane? voice-verified
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