Charlotte MacDonald
speaker
1,889 appearances
62 recordings
1 series
first heard Sep 2010
last heard Apr 2025
Charlotte MacDonald’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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Appearances
A team went to look, but nothing was found.
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It seemed the Bayesian mass could not help after all.
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The months passed, and the French and Brazilian authorities tried a few more things.
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But still, no luck.
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Metron got another call.
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The Bayesian methods underpinning their model made it easy for Keller to input all the new bits of data from the most recent searches.
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While they were looking back on their work, they also decided they weren't happy with one of their initial assumptions.
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The historical data showed that following a plane crash, the black box will be emitting a signal in 90% of cases.
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In the immediate aftermath of the Air France crash, search teams had spent a lot of time to sweep their areas close to the last known location, listening for the ping of the black box or voice recorder.
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They had heard nothing.
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So Keller and her team had decided there was a very low probability the plane would be found there.
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But what if the black box and voice recorder were not sending a signal?
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The Metron statisticians now adapted their model to this possible scenario and came up with a new map.
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So a team returned to the scene to look in this location.
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And this time they found the plane.
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The mystery of the crash was solved.
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The black box recorder data appeared to show that the pilots were given faulty speed readings, responded inappropriately and lost control of the plane.
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The problem is, although the Air France mystery was a success story in that they found the plane, perhaps it should be seen as an example of just how hard it is to find a missing aircraft.
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So what do we know about Malaysia Airlines Flight 370?
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The plane took off from Kuala Lumpur in Malaysia just after midnight on the 8th of March, but never arrived in Beijing.
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Showing 701–720 of 1,889 · page 36 of 95
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