Chris Barrow
speaker
910 appearances
7 recordings
1 series
first heard Dec 2024
last heard 26 Jun
Chris Barrow’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 6 in all, peaking in Jun 2026 with 2.
Appearances
Of course, that would, everyone doesn't want to be alarmist, potentially bring some major European cities into the range of Iranian missiles.
Do we have a sense of how much firepower Iran is likely to have left?
Because the US has said that they estimate, I think it's around 77% of the capability has been degraded or is no longer available.
The honest answer is we simply don't know.
The Iranians have shown a remarkable robustness under a really very intense attack from US and Israeli air power.
And they don't need to be able to launch hundreds of missiles every day.
If they can spread a small number of missiles around targeting Israel, as they have done in the south of the country near Dimona, where the Israeli nuclear reactor is, if they can hit targets in the Gulf, if they can try and attack targets at much longer range, like Diego Garcia, they are keeping up the pressure, the tension, the strain, for example, on Israeli society, the fears and concerns of the
the United States Gulf allies, and indeed the long-range attacks could potentially worry America's European partners.
So in a sense, you know, the Iranian arsenal is clearly hugely depleted, and the Americans claim great successes.
But even with the relatively small remaining arsenal, the Iranians can keep up the pressure from their end.
In your assessment of this conflict so far, does any one side seem to have the upper hand?
Or does this have the hallmarks of a conflict like the Ukrainian one, which could be dragged out for perhaps many years to come?
Well, I don't think it's going to be dragged out for many years to come.
I think it could potentially go on for some considerable time longer.
The chief of the Israeli military has suggested that the war is roughly at its halfway point.
That would suggest it could go on for three or four more weeks, perhaps.
The difficulty we have here is that not only do the Israelis and the Americans have sort of different perceptions as to exactly what the war is about and what they want to achieve, but in a sense, neither of them have a very clear sense of the end state, you know, short of Iranian capitulation and the handing over by Iran of what nuclear materials it holds and so on.
It's not entirely clear what the Americans want.
In one sense, they want regime change, but nobody seriously thinks that is going to happen in Iran anytime soon.
Of course, we're dealing with a mercurial and unpredictable American president.
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