Chris Gerlacher
speaker
121 appearances
1 recordings
1 series
first heard Jun 2026
last heard 18 Jun
Chris Gerlacher’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Jun 2026 with 1.
Appearances
So again, you have this whole ecosystem on top, it'll be really disruptive
you know, if you pull out the base of it, if you pull out the contracts that form the base of it.
So I like their chances of sticking around for the longer they stick around.
The longer they stick around, the harder they are to get rid of because of that.
So if they make it to like the 2030 midterms,
That's a really big victory for prediction markets and the ecosystem around it.
So, yeah, you'll see individual contracts go away.
You'll see maybe some guardrails placed on these.
You'll see greater impatience next term in a Democratic administration.
But I'm betting against them disappearing altogether, much to the frustration of the states.
Well.
It's a cousin of too big to fail.
It's still possible that you have just enough anti-Trump, anti-corruption backlash that you're like, look, the prediction market project needs to be disrupted.
States need to keep the states, the states need to keep sports betting.
It's on the table and it's possible.
I'm just betting against it.
I'm very skeptical of too big to fail.
Sure.
You can find me over at Prediction Market Movers.
Once a week, I'm talking to an entrepreneur or a trader in the prediction market space so we can see the cool stuff they're working on, some of the great things they're seeing in terms of growth in the industry, and some of the pitfalls that they see ahead.
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