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Dan Ivascyn

πŸ‘€ Speaker
717 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And we began to get really, really concerned and really, really defensive.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

You flip forward today, and yeah, there may be some excesses in certain areas.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And yes, there's uncertainty.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

But

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

our economy has been incredibly strong.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

Um, we have a real, real strong, at least middle and upper income consumer home prices have gone up for many, many years.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

Most people are close to half the people, you know, in this country own homes, uh, the consumer balance sheet solid, you know, many years of, you know, real, you know, good, um, labor market performance for middle and upper income cohort groups.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And now this technology through capital investment through,

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And the productivity numbers are noisy, but we get the sense that you're already beginning to see the positive effect of productivity on the U.S.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

economy.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

So despite uncertainty, despite Trump tariffs that in a narrow sense could lead to some additional frictions in the markets, we're fairly optimistic.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And that does change the way you think about investing.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

When you're really pessimistic about growth, when you see lots of problems that just for the passage of time are eventually going to

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

lead to a slowdown, you have a very different approach.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

So the bottom line today is that you want to be cognizant of the uncertainty, but also optimistic about growth.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

As a fixed income investor, that means you're probably not optimizing portfolios if you're getting wildly defensive and just hunker down in the absolute safest stuff.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

No, not in our opinion.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

I think it's time for resilience.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

And it's a great word in every industry who disagrees with resilience.

The Compound and Friends
How Pimco is Preparing for the Next Capital Loss Cycle with Dan Ivascyn

But I think the idea is be up in quality or take advantage of this exciting global opportunity set