Dan Pfeiffer

Peltola probably would have won reelection in 2024 if those contests had been held in this political environment.

So that's pretty big.

Echelon did a set of polls in the Senate states.

Echelon.

Really good pollster run by Republicans, Patrick Ruffini and Kristen Soltis Anderson.

They have Ossoff up 51-44 in Georgia.

In Maine, they have Plattner up on Collins 51-45.

They have Mills up by a narrower 48-46.

Yeah.

I'm just holding my tongue on that.

In Iowa, they have Zach Walls, a two-point lead, and Josh Turek, a one-point lead.

So they do have a tiny lead inside the margin area in Iowa.

And then the only tough one there is in Ohio, they have Sherrod down 51-45.

And there's been a few Ohio polls that have been kind of troubling lately, but we'll see.

So speaking of Patrick Ruffini, who literally wrote the book on the so-called realignment that delivered Trump to the White House in 24, he tweeted a few days before the Virginia election that if the referendum passed by around a five-point margin, of course it passed by three, it meant Republicans, quote, have some fight in them and can, quote, hold down Dem seat gains in the House and keep the Senate.

What did you make of his case?

Yeah, and just to your point about ballot measures,

let us not forget all of the abortion ballot measures in deep red states that made us excited that maybe we were gonna win those states.

And they did not.

Yeah.