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Daniel Kokotajlo

👤 Person
608 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

But just to riff on proscriptive ideas...

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

There's one thing where we try to protect jobs instead of just spreading the wealth that automation creates.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

Another is to spread the wealth using existing social programs or creating new bespoke social programs where Medicaid is some double digit percent of GDP right now.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

And you just say, well, Medicaid should continue to stay 20 percent of GDP or something.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

And the worry there is.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

selfishly from a human perspective is you'll get locked into the kinds of goods and services that Medicaid procures rather than the crazy technology that will be around, the crazy goods and services that will be around after AI world.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

And another reason why UBI seems like a better approach than making some bespoke social program where you make the same dialysis machine in the year 2050 even though you've got ASI or something.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

Okay, we've been talking about what we're going to do about people.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

The thing worth noting about the future is that most of the people who will ever exist are going to be digital.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

And...

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

Look, I think factory farming is, like, incredibly bad.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

And it wasn't the result of some one person... I mean, I don't think it was the result of... I hope it wasn't the result of one person being like, I want to do this evil thing.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

It was a result of...

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

mechanization and a certain economies of scale.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

Incentives.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

Yeah, allowing that like, oh, you can do cost-cutting in this way, you can make more efficiencies this way.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

And what you get at the end result of that process is this incredibly efficient factory of torture and suffering.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

I would want to avoid that kind of outcome with beings that are even more sophisticated and are more numerous.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

There's billions of factory-farmed animals.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

There might be trillions of digital people in the future.