Menu
Sign In Search Podcasts Charts People & Topics Add Podcast API Blog Pricing

Daniel Kokotajlo

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
See mentions of this person in podcasts
617 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model โ€” Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

And it wasn't the result of some one person... I mean, I don't think it was the result of... I hope it wasn't the result of one person being like, I want to do this evil thing.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model โ€” Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

It was a result of...

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model โ€” Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

mechanization and a certain economies of scale.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model โ€” Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

Incentives.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model โ€” Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

Yeah, allowing that like, oh, you can do cost-cutting in this way, you can make more efficiencies this way.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model โ€” Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

And what you get at the end result of that process is this incredibly efficient factory of torture and suffering.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model โ€” Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

I would want to avoid that kind of outcome with beings that are even more sophisticated and are more numerous.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model โ€” Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

There's billions of factory-farmed animals.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model โ€” Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

There might be trillions of digital people in the future.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model โ€” Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

What should we be thinking about in order to avoid this kind of ghoulish future?

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model โ€” Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

I mean, the worry there is maybe I should have defended this view more through this entire episode, but I do think because I don't buy the intelligence explosion fully, I do think there's the possibility of multiple people deploying powerful AS at the same time and having a world that has ASIs but is also decentralized the way the modern world is decentralized.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model โ€” Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

In that world, I really worry about, because you could just be like, oh, classical liberal utopia achieved.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model โ€” Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

But I worry about the fact that you can just have these torture chambers for much cheaper and in a way that's much harder to monitor.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model โ€” Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

You can have millions of beings that are being tortured and it doesn't even have to be some huge data center.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model โ€” Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

Future distilled models could just, you know, could like literally be your backyard.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model โ€” Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

Yeah.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model โ€” Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

I don't know.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model โ€” Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

And then there's more speculative worries about I had this physicist on who was talking about the possibility of creating vacuum decay where you literally just destroy the universe.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model โ€” Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

And he's like, as far as I know, it seems totally plausible.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model โ€” Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

Can I ask a little bit more about the โ€“ Kelsey Piper is a journalist at Vox who published this exchange you had with the OpenAI representative.