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Daniel Kokotajlo

👤 Person
608 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

And how did this episode in general inform your worldview around how people will make high stakes decisions where potentially their own self-interest is involved in this kind of key period that you imagine will happen by the end of the decade?

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

Okay, Scott, can I ask you some questions?

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

Of course.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

How often do you discover a new blogger you're super excited about?

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

Order of once a year.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

Okay.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

And how often after you discover them does the rest of the world discover them?

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

On the point about, well, there's people who can write short form, so why isn't that translating?

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

I will mention something that has actually radicalized me against Twitter as an information source is I'll meet, and this has happened multiple times, I'll meet somebody who seems to be an interesting poster, has funny, seemingly insightful posts on Twitter.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

I'll meet them in person, and they are just absolute idiots.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

Like there's like, it's like they've got 240 characters of something that sounds insightful and it matches to somebody who maybe has a deep worldview might say, but they actually don't have it.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

Whereas I've actually had the opposite experience.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

many times had the opposite feeling when I meet anonymous bloggers in real life where I'm like, oh, there's actually even more to you than I realized off your online persona.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

You know Alvaro de Menard, the fantastic anachronism guy?

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

So I met up with him recently, and he gives me this – he made hundreds of translations of his favorite Greek poet, Cavafy, and he gave me a copy.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

And it's just this thing he's been doing on his side.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

It's just like translating Greek poetry he really liked.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

I don't expect any anonymous posters on Twitter to be anytime soon handing me their translation of some Roman or Greek poet or something.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

No, I mean, Chad, GBT can write you a book.

Dwarkesh Podcast
2027 Intelligence Explosion: Month-by-Month Model — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

There's a difference between the Chad GPT book, which is most books.