Dario Amodei
speaker
1,812 appearances
10 recordings
8 series
first heard Oct 2024
last heard 12 Jun
Dario Amodei’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
Trend
recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 8 in all, peaking in Apr 2026 with 3.
Appearances
In addition to just being a smart thing you talk to, it has all the interfaces available to a human working virtually, including text, audio, video, mouse and keyboard control, and internet access.
It can engage in any actions, communications, or remote operations enabled by this interface, including taking actions on the internet, taking or giving directions to humans, ordering materials, directing experiments, watching videos, making videos, and so on.
It does all of these tasks with, again, a skill exceeding that of the most capable humans in the world.
It does not just passively answer questions.
Instead, it can be given tasks that take hours, days, or weeks to complete and then goes off and does those tasks autonomously, in the way a smart employee would, asking for clarification as necessary.
It does not have a physical embodiment other than living on a computer screen, but it can control existing physical tools, robots, or laboratory equipment through a computer.
In theory, it could even design robots or equipment for itself to use.
The resources used to train the model can be repurposed to run millions of instances of it, this matches projected cluster sizes by roughly 2027, and the model can absorb information and generate actions at roughly 10-100x human speed.
It may, however, be limited by the response time of the physical world or of software it interacts with.
Each of these million copies can act independently on unrelated tasks, or, if needed can all work together in the same way humans would collaborate, perhaps with different subpopulations fine-tuned to be especially good at particular tasks.
That's the end of the list.
We could summarize this as a country of geniuses in a data center.
End quote.
As I wrote in Machines of Loving Grace, powerful AI could be as little as one to two years away, although it could also be considerably further out.
Exactly when powerful AI will arrive is a complex topic that deserves an essay of its own, but for now I'll simply explain very briefly why I think there's a strong chance it could be very soon.
My co-founders at Anthropic and I were among the first to document and track the descaling laws of AI systems.
The observation that as we add more compute and training tasks, AI systems get predictably better at essentially every cognitive skill we are able to measure.
Every few months, public sentiment either becomes convinced that AI is hitting a wall or becomes excited about some new breakthrough that will fundamentally change the game.
But the truth is that behind the volatility and public speculation,
there has been a smooth, unyielding increase in AI's cognitive capabilities.
Showing 601–620 of 1,812 · page 31 of 91
← Previous
Next →