Dario Amodei
๐ค SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
And, you know, we see our company's revenue going up 10x a year.
And, you know, we suspect the wider industry looks something similar to that.
If the technology keeps improving, it doesn't take that many more 10xs until suddenly you're saying, oh.
You know, if you're adding across the industry a trillion dollars of revenue a year, like, you know, the U.S.
GDP is 20 or 30 trillion.
I can't remember exactly.
So you must be increasing the GDP growth by a few percent.
So, you know, I can see a world where a.
AI brings the developed world GDP growth to something like 10% or 15%.
5%, 10%, 15%.
I mean, you know, there's no science of calculating these numbers.
It's a totally unprecedented thing.
But it could bring it to numbers that are outside the distribution of what we saw before.
And again, I think this will lead to a weird world, right?
You know, we have all these debates about the deficit is growing.
If you have...
That much in GDP growth, you're going to have that much in tax receipts, and you're going to balance the budget without meaning to.
But one of the things I've been thinking about lately is, you know, I think one of the assumptions of just our economic and political debates is that, you know, growth is hard to achieve.
It's this unicorn.
There are all kinds of ways you can kill the golden goose.