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Dario Amodei

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
2714 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Interesting Times with Ross Douthat
Is Claude Coding Us Into Irrelevance?

And, you know, we see our company's revenue going up 10x a year.

Interesting Times with Ross Douthat
Is Claude Coding Us Into Irrelevance?

And, you know, we suspect the wider industry looks something similar to that.

Interesting Times with Ross Douthat
Is Claude Coding Us Into Irrelevance?

If the technology keeps improving, it doesn't take that many more 10xs until suddenly you're saying, oh.

Interesting Times with Ross Douthat
Is Claude Coding Us Into Irrelevance?

You know, if you're adding across the industry a trillion dollars of revenue a year, like, you know, the U.S.

Interesting Times with Ross Douthat
Is Claude Coding Us Into Irrelevance?

GDP is 20 or 30 trillion.

Interesting Times with Ross Douthat
Is Claude Coding Us Into Irrelevance?

I can't remember exactly.

Interesting Times with Ross Douthat
Is Claude Coding Us Into Irrelevance?

So you must be increasing the GDP growth by a few percent.

Interesting Times with Ross Douthat
Is Claude Coding Us Into Irrelevance?

So, you know, I can see a world where a.

Interesting Times with Ross Douthat
Is Claude Coding Us Into Irrelevance?

AI brings the developed world GDP growth to something like 10% or 15%.

Interesting Times with Ross Douthat
Is Claude Coding Us Into Irrelevance?

5%, 10%, 15%.

Interesting Times with Ross Douthat
Is Claude Coding Us Into Irrelevance?

I mean, you know, there's no science of calculating these numbers.

Interesting Times with Ross Douthat
Is Claude Coding Us Into Irrelevance?

It's a totally unprecedented thing.

Interesting Times with Ross Douthat
Is Claude Coding Us Into Irrelevance?

But it could bring it to numbers that are outside the distribution of what we saw before.

Interesting Times with Ross Douthat
Is Claude Coding Us Into Irrelevance?

And again, I think this will lead to a weird world, right?

Interesting Times with Ross Douthat
Is Claude Coding Us Into Irrelevance?

You know, we have all these debates about the deficit is growing.

Interesting Times with Ross Douthat
Is Claude Coding Us Into Irrelevance?

If you have...

Interesting Times with Ross Douthat
Is Claude Coding Us Into Irrelevance?

That much in GDP growth, you're going to have that much in tax receipts, and you're going to balance the budget without meaning to.

Interesting Times with Ross Douthat
Is Claude Coding Us Into Irrelevance?

But one of the things I've been thinking about lately is, you know, I think one of the assumptions of just our economic and political debates is that, you know, growth is hard to achieve.

Interesting Times with Ross Douthat
Is Claude Coding Us Into Irrelevance?

It's this unicorn.

Interesting Times with Ross Douthat
Is Claude Coding Us Into Irrelevance?

There are all kinds of ways you can kill the golden goose.