Dario Amodei

speaker
1,812 appearances 10 recordings 8 series first heard Oct 2024 last heard 12 Jun

Dario Amodei’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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recordings per month · last 12 months
3 · Apr OctJan 26AprJulnow

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 8 in all, peaking in Apr 2026 with 3.

Appearances

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You know, it's hard to predict these things because the technology is moving so fast and kind of moves so unevenly.
So at least a couple of principles for figuring out and then I'll give my guesses at like what I think will be disrupted.
So, you know, one thing is I think the technology itself is.
and its capabilities will be ahead of the actual job disruption.
Two things have to happen for jobs to be disrupted or for productivity to occur, because sometimes those two things are linked.
One is the technology has to be capable of doing it.
And the second is there's this messy thing of, you know,
It actually has to be applied within a large bank or a large company or, you know, think about customer service or something, right?
You know, in theory, AI customer service agents can be much better than human customer service agents.
They're more patient.
They know more.
They handle things in a more uniform way.
But the actual logistics and the actual process of making that substitution, that takes some time.
So, I'm very bullish about the kind of the direction of the AI itself.
Like, you know, I think we might have that country of geniuses in a data center in one or two years.
Maybe it'll be five, but, you know, it could happen very fast.
But I think the diffusion of the economy is going to be a little slower, and that diffusion creates some unpredictability.
So, an example of this is, you know, and we've seen with an anthropic, the model's writing code has gone very fast already.
I don't think it's because the models are inherently better at code.
I think it's because developers are used to fast technological change and they adopt things quickly.
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