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David Duvenaud

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
1059 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

It just seems like we'll be in a very vulnerable position.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

Yeah.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

So one of them is just humans not being that close to the action or knowing what's going on.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

And maybe a concrete example today is if I'm an average Joe and I think like actually AI is going to be the next big thing and I really want to invest in it.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

Most of the big AI companies are still private equity, right?

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

Like Anthropic and XAI.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

And so there's actually no direct way for me to even invest in them.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

And of course, like bigger investors can.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

But this is a good example of like no one's making this happen.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

It just happens that our institutions...

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

marginalize almost everyone from participating in like one of the biggest wealth creation events in human history.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

So again, AI advice, helping you avoid these situations is like maybe the thing that keeps us safe.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

But again, there's just going to be incentives for the people who are actually creating the, or like the, not people, the AIs that are creating the wealth just naturally are going to form these sort of like local bubbles of enrichment, which will be hard for the larger, like massive unproductive humanity to participate in.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

Yeah.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

And that's exactly what I was thinking of when I was referring to these like sort of bubbles of wealth creation is like also all these new beings.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

This question of like legal personhood, I also think it's very unstable to have the sort of like very productive sort of cutting edge, like whatever is most like memetically fit beings just forever not being able to de facto grab the mantle of power one way or another.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

The problem is that this is all very fuzzy and far into the future, so any particular scenario sounds a bit far-fetched, especially without all the other parts of the scaffolding set up to realize why this locally will seem inevitable, I think.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

Sure, I guess maybe one way to think about it is what are the forces that are acting towards equality that are going to stop operating?

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

And the main one is just the value of labor.

80,000 Hours Podcast
Why 'Aligned AI' Could Still Kill Democracy | David Duvenaud, ex-Anthropic team lead

So right now, sort of everybody for most of their lives has some valuable labor that they can trade.