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David Friedberg

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
8269 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX-Cursor Deal, SaaS Debt Bomb, New Apple CEO, SPLC Indictment, Colon Cancer Spike

Yeah, they'll basically send, like you go on Caribbean cruise ships and you get a survey afterwards.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX-Cursor Deal, SaaS Debt Bomb, New Apple CEO, SPLC Indictment, Colon Cancer Spike

And then they use that survey data to provide management insights and operational insights to the leadership team and the operating team on how to improve the quality of their product.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX-Cursor Deal, SaaS Debt Bomb, New Apple CEO, SPLC Indictment, Colon Cancer Spike

or their service.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX-Cursor Deal, SaaS Debt Bomb, New Apple CEO, SPLC Indictment, Colon Cancer Spike

So it's sort of like this feedback surveying loop.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX-Cursor Deal, SaaS Debt Bomb, New Apple CEO, SPLC Indictment, Colon Cancer Spike

So if I were to tell you guys, hey, you want to build a feedback surveying loop to run your business better, are you going to buy SaaS today?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX-Cursor Deal, SaaS Debt Bomb, New Apple CEO, SPLC Indictment, Colon Cancer Spike

Are you going to ask your AI to spin up an agent for you to do that?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX-Cursor Deal, SaaS Debt Bomb, New Apple CEO, SPLC Indictment, Colon Cancer Spike

And I think that's a big part of what's happened is all these sorts of companies where the alternative to buying a SaaS product is to spin something up internally.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX-Cursor Deal, SaaS Debt Bomb, New Apple CEO, SPLC Indictment, Colon Cancer Spike

And it's much cheaper and easier to spin it up internally.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX-Cursor Deal, SaaS Debt Bomb, New Apple CEO, SPLC Indictment, Colon Cancer Spike

You get a custom workflow.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX-Cursor Deal, SaaS Debt Bomb, New Apple CEO, SPLC Indictment, Colon Cancer Spike

Maybe they took cash out, maybe they didn't, but there was still a big debt overhang, and the debt's clearly gotten impaired, which means that the equity, yeah, the equity.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX-Cursor Deal, SaaS Debt Bomb, New Apple CEO, SPLC Indictment, Colon Cancer Spike

So they may have taken cash out and covered some of their costs, but the equity got fully impaired.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX-Cursor Deal, SaaS Debt Bomb, New Apple CEO, SPLC Indictment, Colon Cancer Spike

And then the debt is clearly impaired because you can see how the debt and the CLOs are trading, which indicates that this business is just not doing well.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX-Cursor Deal, SaaS Debt Bomb, New Apple CEO, SPLC Indictment, Colon Cancer Spike

And then someone else on Twitter posted some internal information from Medallia saying the sales team is just not hitting their targets.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX-Cursor Deal, SaaS Debt Bomb, New Apple CEO, SPLC Indictment, Colon Cancer Spike

They're like way, way off their sales targets, which I think speaks to the underlying problem here.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX-Cursor Deal, SaaS Debt Bomb, New Apple CEO, SPLC Indictment, Colon Cancer Spike

No, unpack that, yeah, please.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX-Cursor Deal, SaaS Debt Bomb, New Apple CEO, SPLC Indictment, Colon Cancer Spike

Yeah, so the underlying problem is that these businesses in the SaaS space, where you're driven by net new sales every year, how many new customers are you signing up?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX-Cursor Deal, SaaS Debt Bomb, New Apple CEO, SPLC Indictment, Colon Cancer Spike

And then you're trying to manage retention and you're trying to increase sell-through and retain customers.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX-Cursor Deal, SaaS Debt Bomb, New Apple CEO, SPLC Indictment, Colon Cancer Spike

they're just having a really hard time sourcing new customers and there's probably higher than modeled attrition.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX-Cursor Deal, SaaS Debt Bomb, New Apple CEO, SPLC Indictment, Colon Cancer Spike

That's right.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
SpaceX-Cursor Deal, SaaS Debt Bomb, New Apple CEO, SPLC Indictment, Colon Cancer Spike

And when you have a very kind of typically historically predictable business where you can say, hey, I've got a net revenue retention of 118% or what have you, meaning I'm selling into my install base by 18% over what I'm making last year and then I'm signing up new customers