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David Hoffman

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
2256 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Bankless
ROLLUP: Crypto Momentum | Regime Shift? | Payments War | Prediction Boom | SBF on Netflix

It's a wartime asset.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Crypto Momentum | Regime Shift? | Payments War | Prediction Boom | SBF on Netflix

And look, the U.S.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Crypto Momentum | Regime Shift? | Payments War | Prediction Boom | SBF on Netflix

is sanctioning Russia on SWIFT and freezing T-bills.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Crypto Momentum | Regime Shift? | Payments War | Prediction Boom | SBF on Netflix

And so there was a narrative accompanying this price pump.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Crypto Momentum | Regime Shift? | Payments War | Prediction Boom | SBF on Netflix

But what ended up happening, of course, is that relief rally did not last long.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Crypto Momentum | Regime Shift? | Payments War | Prediction Boom | SBF on Netflix

And it took two more years into 2024 to reach those highs yet again.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Crypto Momentum | Regime Shift? | Payments War | Prediction Boom | SBF on Netflix

So by default, this kind of looks like last cycle and is probably my base case as well.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Crypto Momentum | Regime Shift? | Payments War | Prediction Boom | SBF on Netflix

But I'm like deferring that to Michael Nadeau.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Crypto Momentum | Regime Shift? | Payments War | Prediction Boom | SBF on Netflix

He's been right too often for me to dispute his take on this.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Crypto Momentum | Regime Shift? | Payments War | Prediction Boom | SBF on Netflix

Yes, yes.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Crypto Momentum | Regime Shift? | Payments War | Prediction Boom | SBF on Netflix

Undefeated, I got to say.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Crypto Momentum | Regime Shift? | Payments War | Prediction Boom | SBF on Netflix

The four-year cycles are undefeated.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Crypto Momentum | Regime Shift? | Payments War | Prediction Boom | SBF on Netflix

But somebody who is trying to defeat them, I will say, this is kind of news on the week in markets, was Michael Saylor.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Crypto Momentum | Regime Shift? | Payments War | Prediction Boom | SBF on Netflix

So did you know, David, Michael Saylor bought roughly $3 billion of Bitcoin over the past two weeks?

Bankless
ROLLUP: Crypto Momentum | Regime Shift? | Payments War | Prediction Boom | SBF on Netflix

Yeah, so if you look at this chart, these are in orange, these big orange dots, these are all of the Michael Saylor purchases.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Crypto Momentum | Regime Shift? | Payments War | Prediction Boom | SBF on Netflix

So the strategy purchases all the way since 2020 when he started this whole thing.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Crypto Momentum | Regime Shift? | Payments War | Prediction Boom | SBF on Netflix

And you could see last bear market in 2022, he wasn't doing very much buying.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Crypto Momentum | Regime Shift? | Payments War | Prediction Boom | SBF on Netflix

And that's because he didn't have any cash.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Crypto Momentum | Regime Shift? | Payments War | Prediction Boom | SBF on Netflix

No one would give him money to buy.

Bankless
ROLLUP: Crypto Momentum | Regime Shift? | Payments War | Prediction Boom | SBF on Netflix

So the little amount that he was buying, he was doing this with excess cash from, I think, the MicroStrategy balance sheet.