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David Kapler

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
120 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Rest Is Classified
159. Is NATO Prepared for a Russian Attack?

Some nations want stronger security services, some nations wish them to be weaker, some nations use them for research.

The Rest Is Classified
159. Is NATO Prepared for a Russian Attack?

They're just yet another voice in that decision-making process.

The Rest Is Classified
159. Is NATO Prepared for a Russian Attack?

In some nations, military and civilian services

The Rest Is Classified
159. Is NATO Prepared for a Russian Attack?

might actually be prohibited from working with each other.

The Rest Is Classified
159. Is NATO Prepared for a Russian Attack?

It's not just that perhaps they don't want to, they may not.

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159. Is NATO Prepared for a Russian Attack?

So to have a joint division where every ally contributes and the personnel participate from those allies, they do behave differently at NATO.

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159. Is NATO Prepared for a Russian Attack?

And I think the final thing here, the big takeaway, is the role of intelligence, especially at the strategic level there, was so interesting for me as a practitioner to observe in that I'd worked at the White House, I'd worked at the Pentagon, then at NATO, had a variety of roles over the course of my career.

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159. Is NATO Prepared for a Russian Attack?

That one was the most demanding in terms of the need to do intelligence diplomacy.

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159. Is NATO Prepared for a Russian Attack?

Ask for collection, ask for information to be provided, ask for different personnel, ask to come and visit and be briefed in a way that's gonna make sense within your system so that I understand when the nations come together,

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159. Is NATO Prepared for a Russian Attack?

What must we say?

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159. Is NATO Prepared for a Russian Attack?

Yeah, sure, Gordon.

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159. Is NATO Prepared for a Russian Attack?

But I just would differ on the use of the word serious in this context.

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159. Is NATO Prepared for a Russian Attack?

disagreeing with the analytic view is not the same as being unserious.

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159. Is NATO Prepared for a Russian Attack?

Yeah.

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159. Is NATO Prepared for a Russian Attack?

So you can see the same pieces of intelligence make a different interpretation.

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159. Is NATO Prepared for a Russian Attack?

Absolutely.

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159. Is NATO Prepared for a Russian Attack?

You could either draw a different conclusion altogether, which would be based on a range of things, or I think more correctly in this case, different capitals have different risk thresholds

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159. Is NATO Prepared for a Russian Attack?

and then correspondingly different levels of evidence and confidence for themselves in that picture before they're willing to take a political and military set of actions based on it.

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159. Is NATO Prepared for a Russian Attack?

It can, but I don't think in impactful terms it does.

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159. Is NATO Prepared for a Russian Attack?

I would go back and I like to point to what's agreed.