David Lesky

They have not been good, but we still thought they were going to be good.

So there's a lot of that in there.

Even when they were 7-16, I feel like they were still at like 17% to make the playoffs or something like that, which I actually think was a little lower than that.

But baseball perspectives, for example, had the Royals as an 85-win team.

pakota projections they actually the royals is the best team in the division which i know that shocks everybody because pakota quote-unquote hates the royals but um so when so so that's that's what 85 and 70 that's eight games over 500 when they're nine games under that means okay they're only going to be they're going to be one game under according to them because they still use the projections at that point and so i don't think it means a ton um

I think it's, if you're a manager of a bad team, I think you say, look where the projections still have you.

You're a good team, and this is why, you know.

And I think if you're a manager of a good team that's, or a bad team that's struggling, that is, that the playoff odds have gone down.

You say, they don't mean anything.

They're nothing because this is not who you are.

So it matters as much as you want to let it matter.

You create your own narrative from them.

I don't think it means a whole lot right now.

you look in June mid-June late June that's when I think it starts to make a difference um because I think we have enough data to know what the teams are really and not to say oh it's still early because I don't think it is early anymore I think we're 34 games in I don't think that it's early but I I think that when you look at the mathematical equations they do take into account things that maybe don't matter as much anymore um I'm trying to look at this is this uh

Oh, they did?

Have they played the Cardinals?

Oh, that's weird.

I don't.

Well, that's got to be a flaw.

Maybe they've changed it.