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David McCloskey

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
2166 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

There's a database that we used.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

It was called Trident when I was inside and it pulled everything in, right?

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

So if you had different kind of searches set up that would pull in all of the signals intelligence, all of the human, all of the state reporting, links to the imagery reports, the satellite, the overhead stuff.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

And then the press in a situation like this, oftentimes journalists, the wire reports that are on the ground or have connections to people who are inside are very, very valuable.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

And what I would say just sort of anecdotally from my time working on Syria and in particular in those first few weeks of the unrest in March of 2011, if you left your desk for a briefing and you went downtown, let's say you went down to the NSC, you know, at the White House.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

Yes.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

And you came back two, three hours later.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

If you wanted to read everything that had come in, you would have to spend like the rest of your day just getting caught up on the reading because there was just so much stuff there.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

that would come in.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

And in a situation like this, where the questions that policymakers are asking, because, you know, everything ladders up inside the CIA and inside the U.S.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

intelligence community to the production of the president's daily brief, the PDB.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

And so the big questions, right, that the analysts are being asked are usually in a fast moving situation like this going to go into a PDB article at some point.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

You could be asked anything from

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

what's going on with this or that military or security unit, you know, all the way up to how stable is the Islamic Republic.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

You sort of have to get caught up on that reading all the time.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

And so what ends up happening is you're just, you're overloaded, right?

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

You're absolutely overloaded as an analyst in this situation.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

And, you know, the big questions that you're being asked, how long can this government hold on?

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

That's going to be the big one.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

Two, what are the scenarios for how this plays out?