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David McCloskey

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
2166 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

The units that have been put out to suppress the protests, to kill protesters, to make arrests, seem to have performed as requested and required by the regime.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

There have been instances...

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

I think of some security units were either unable, obviously, to suppress protests or in some cases, I think, armed resistance to the regime.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

And there have been some cases, it seems, where Iranian security forces have essentially said, look, we're not going to, we're just kind of going to let this happen, right?

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

We're not going to actually suppress the protest, right?

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

There have been little instances of that throughout the last few weeks.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

But when you kind of look at have the security forces in general performed, I think the answer is that the regime has held the line, right?

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

And you haven't seen significant cracks in these institutions.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

And maybe it's worth a little bit going to talk about the institutions because we say loyal and effective military and security services.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

Well, in an authoritarian regime...

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

such as Iran's, and it was a very similar setup in Syria.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

You'd find a similar setup in Russia or in China.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

The way you run these

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

systems is on what I would call like a hub and spoke model.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

You have number one, very large security organizations.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

I mean, we're talking in the Iranian context about hundreds of thousands of people that are technically on the rolls of some of these organizations.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

And all of the organizations have a bit of an overlapping mandate.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

And they all watch each other.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

Right.

The Rest Is Classified
118. Inside Iran: Can You Predict A Revolution? (Ep 1)

They all spy on each other.