David McCloskey
👤 SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
Hold on now.
Hold on.
Okay.
So you have... Here we go.
I feel that the gap from... And I think we're both in agreement that the Iranians did not have a nuclear bomb prior to... They don't have one now, we don't think.
And they didn't have one prior to Operation Midnight Hammer and the 12-Day War.
The gap...
from where they were to a bomb.
Was shortening.
And I think when you look at the kind of the analysis of the IAEA inspection and verification reports and the IAEA's view on how advanced the weaponization effort was, which admittedly is like they have gaps, right?
The Eurodians aren't being forthcoming about the weaponization aspects of their nuclear capabilities.
We're not talking about a significant amount of additional kind of engineering work.
It's a very tight timeline.
They were very close in 2003, and it's been 23 years.
So presumably that gap has been closed a bit in the intervening quarter century.
And I guess the issue with that, which I think you would you would agree with is on the you're right.
Like it's oversimplifying things to say, oh, well, if you have, you know, 440 kilograms of highly enriched uranium, that's roughly the equivalent or the amount you would need for nine or 10 bombs.
That's a true statement.
But it doesn't mean that you in two weeks can have nine or 10 bombs.
But the problem with the weaponization and the delivery side of things is that those are the aspects of the program where you are, by definition, going to have the biggest intelligence gaps.