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David McCloskey

👤 Speaker
5356 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

The Rest Is Classified
147. Will Trump Destroy Iran’s Nuclear Programme? (Ep 2)

Hold on now.

The Rest Is Classified
147. Will Trump Destroy Iran’s Nuclear Programme? (Ep 2)

Hold on.

The Rest Is Classified
147. Will Trump Destroy Iran’s Nuclear Programme? (Ep 2)

Okay.

The Rest Is Classified
147. Will Trump Destroy Iran’s Nuclear Programme? (Ep 2)

So you have... Here we go.

The Rest Is Classified
147. Will Trump Destroy Iran’s Nuclear Programme? (Ep 2)

I feel that the gap from... And I think we're both in agreement that the Iranians did not have a nuclear bomb prior to... They don't have one now, we don't think.

The Rest Is Classified
147. Will Trump Destroy Iran’s Nuclear Programme? (Ep 2)

And they didn't have one prior to Operation Midnight Hammer and the 12-Day War.

The Rest Is Classified
147. Will Trump Destroy Iran’s Nuclear Programme? (Ep 2)

The gap...

The Rest Is Classified
147. Will Trump Destroy Iran’s Nuclear Programme? (Ep 2)

from where they were to a bomb.

The Rest Is Classified
147. Will Trump Destroy Iran’s Nuclear Programme? (Ep 2)

Was shortening.

The Rest Is Classified
147. Will Trump Destroy Iran’s Nuclear Programme? (Ep 2)

And I think when you look at the kind of the analysis of the IAEA inspection and verification reports and the IAEA's view on how advanced the weaponization effort was, which admittedly is like they have gaps, right?

The Rest Is Classified
147. Will Trump Destroy Iran’s Nuclear Programme? (Ep 2)

The Eurodians aren't being forthcoming about the weaponization aspects of their nuclear capabilities.

The Rest Is Classified
147. Will Trump Destroy Iran’s Nuclear Programme? (Ep 2)

We're not talking about a significant amount of additional kind of engineering work.

The Rest Is Classified
147. Will Trump Destroy Iran’s Nuclear Programme? (Ep 2)

It's a very tight timeline.

The Rest Is Classified
147. Will Trump Destroy Iran’s Nuclear Programme? (Ep 2)

They were very close in 2003, and it's been 23 years.

The Rest Is Classified
147. Will Trump Destroy Iran’s Nuclear Programme? (Ep 2)

So presumably that gap has been closed a bit in the intervening quarter century.

The Rest Is Classified
147. Will Trump Destroy Iran’s Nuclear Programme? (Ep 2)

And I guess the issue with that, which I think you would you would agree with is on the you're right.

The Rest Is Classified
147. Will Trump Destroy Iran’s Nuclear Programme? (Ep 2)

Like it's oversimplifying things to say, oh, well, if you have, you know, 440 kilograms of highly enriched uranium, that's roughly the equivalent or the amount you would need for nine or 10 bombs.

The Rest Is Classified
147. Will Trump Destroy Iran’s Nuclear Programme? (Ep 2)

That's a true statement.

The Rest Is Classified
147. Will Trump Destroy Iran’s Nuclear Programme? (Ep 2)

But it doesn't mean that you in two weeks can have nine or 10 bombs.

The Rest Is Classified
147. Will Trump Destroy Iran’s Nuclear Programme? (Ep 2)

But the problem with the weaponization and the delivery side of things is that those are the aspects of the program where you are, by definition, going to have the biggest intelligence gaps.