David Wallace

speaker
1,940 appearances 2 recordings 1 series first heard May 2025 last heard 20 Jul

David Wallace’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 1.

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I mean, the way decision theoretic representation theorems generally work is not that they give positive arguments that some specific strategy is irrational.
They just establish that...
you know, they establish a class of strategies such that if you're outside that class of strategies, then you're committed to things that you will yourself accept, or nationally, e.g.
dashboard level things, although it can get sophisticated.
So the form of those results is a lot more, you know,
categorical than that.
I mean, is it the case, should one then have pause in that framework of the fact that other agents who are irrational get lucky?
Well, I mean, again, you've established that you don't much care about them because of how low their branch rate is.
So, I mean, I'm not directly familiar with the form of the objection, Simon, between Jacob's position and justice, but that's part of the form of the concern.
And look, it's also true that in any
Any sufficiently large class of observers is going to have features like this.
I mean, again, even our actual world is like that.
I mean, people buy lottery tickets.
This is irrational, but some of them win and get very rich.
And it's not as if there's a...
Well, I mean, you'd be sympathetic to this.
It's not as if there's a good probabilistic argument to say that I'm not one of them.
I mean, I might be able to say that I, you know, for any given lottery ticket I'm holding right now, I can say I'm very unlikely to win.
But if I just sort of sit back and think what I think about the fact that I share the world with observers, some of whom are going to do irrational stuff and get lucky from it.
Oh, yeah.
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