David Wallace
speaker
1,940 appearances
2 recordings
1 series
first heard May 2025
last heard 20 Jul
David Wallace’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
Trend
recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 1.
Appearances
Well, in in in game theory type terms, to bet on it.
with high odds.
So if you're to say that you're ninety nine percent confident that
Oh, I don't know.
The sun, stupid example, no, the the the the i you're you're you're in Death Valley, you're ninety-five percent confident it's gonna be sunny tomorrow.
Um what you mean by that is something like if somebody offered you a bet on whether it's gonna be sunny in Death Valley tomorrow, you'd take that bet at twenty-w at twenty-to-one odds.
Um and you definitely take it at two to one odds, but you wouldn't take it at a million to one odds, because it's not always sunny in Death Valley.
Right.
That's the that so at l at least in in a a certain tradition that
you know, it goes back to sort of mid century
logicians and mathematicians then
it's kind of constitutive of probability that it plugs into our decision calculus in this kind of way.
So if you could establish
that the mod squared amplitude
Needs to plug into our decision calculus.
In this kind of way.
then you'd um you'd make a big step towards understanding why the mod squared amplitude is probability, plays the role of probability in our science.
And perhaps to connect to something a little less stylized than betting on death valley and some bit more connected to scientific experiment.
You might imagine you're testing a scientific hypothesis.
Let's say your theory predicts a certain value for the half life of the neutron.
Showing 901–920 of 1,940 · page 46 of 97
← Previous
Next →