David Weisburd
๐ค SpeakerAppearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
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It's like these unteachable lessons.
Everybody...
on an academic basis understands this one in 10 phenomenon when they go into venture capital, but they fail to really internalize both the one and the 10.
One of the most common things that venture capitalists say over and over again is, I fail to realize how important those power law outcomes are, like how singularly important they are.
I interviewed Apoorva Mehta, who's a fund-to-fund guy, and he had over 500 investments.
And I believe 5% of them, 25 of them,
it returned 77% of the fund.
And I think a couple of handful of them returned 50%.
So like a small handful of companies out of 500 returned 50, 25 returned 77%, which is another way of saying that 475 returned 23%.
Sex will likely be a trillion dollar outcome.
Anthropic hopefully will be somewhere close.