Dean W. Ball
speaker
545 appearances
1 recordings
1 series
first heard Nov 2024
last heard Nov 2024
Dean W. Ball’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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There is like a Shakespearean relationship between the intention of public policy and then what actually happens, and there is an extent to which like any rules you create are very likely to make the thing that you're trying to fix worse in some important way.
This is something that I really want people to think
Yeah, I think it's interesting because I reflecting on that piece, which I think I read concurrently with this publication.
You were writing in twenty twenty one, which was a very wildly different sort of media environment.
We were coming out of COVID and the election and the social unrest of the summer of twenty twenty and all that stuff.
And I think it's is also the prediction error of over indexing on the trends that you see around.
you in a specific moment.
And also though, the interesting part to me is that to a certain extent, what you're talking about is like a technology diffusion story, because it's not about the capability.
It's about the actual like institutional changes that need to happen.
And the the changes just to the way that senior people at companies and governments think about stuff.
And that's just like part of my thesis on like why I I think both some of the AI hype and also some of the AI risks are overblown is not so much because
I doubt the capabilities.
It's because
I have a keen sense that the diffusion of these things just takes time.
It just takes longer than you think.
And even if you think it's gonna take a l a while, it's still probably a little bit longer than you think.
You just have to constantly be correcting for that.
I think you're both somewhat understating it.
I encourage your listeners to go and read that post and especially the twenty twenty four one.
The section on twenty twenty four, realizing that it was written three years ago, and just understanding that like Daniel got it.
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