Doug Fox

You've got to turn a one-win guy into a two-win guy, turn a two-win guy into a three-win guy, and roll it up that way because even the best player development organizations aren't going to be able to develop a bunch of ten-win guys out of nowhere.

Okay, semi-related to the Mizorowski conversation about his innings load, we look at...

who the ERA leaders are, who the best fantasy pitchers are so far this year.

And it's a lot of young guys.

Chase Burns comes to mind as a flamethrower who's been really, really good early on here.

From the fantasy lens, obviously, if you play in Roto and you're holding these guys, you get the stats for the year in Roto.

That's not that big a deal.

But if you're playing in a head-to-head league and you're sizing up some of these guys, whether you hold them or you're looking to trade for them,

How much is, you know, Chase Burns maybe gets the six-man rotation at some point, or this guy's maybe going to, you know, maybe not Chase Burns because the Reds are in the mix, but a guy's going to get shut down a little late.

Are we at the point of the year where you start thinking through those things in acquisitions?

So something that you and Eno talked about recently that, you know, I think everyone has had to deal with, but especially doing kind of like a numbers forward baseball show all summer.

A lot of people now have the same information.

Like I remember reading a book called Fantasyland like more than a decade ago about someone, a writer who dove into fantasy and like the idea of like batting average on balls in play was like a revolutionary thing you could look at to, to, to,

project forward like, oh, this guy's underperforming or overperforming in batting average.

Now, especially on the pitching side, we're all looking at the same stuff.

You do a show with a guy who I'm in a fantasy league with, and everyone in that fantasy league is using his starting pitcher rankings and his stuff plus model to evaluate guys.

How do we, like, obviously if you play, you know, if you play in some free leagues or lesser leagues or like office leagues or whatever, you might be able to be the shark and there's some fish in that league.

But for the most part, especially when you're playing in more competitive leagues,

How do you navigate that a lot of us are working from the same information here?

Yeah, it's a great point.