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Dr. Emma Shortis

👤 Speaker
85 total appearances
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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

Well, I think this is a very familiar place for us to be, Ruby.

87.494 View full episode →
7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

It's something we've seen repeat itself over the last several months where Trump says we're close to a deal or even announces a deal.

91.82 View full episode →
7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

And then it turns out that we have very little detail about said deal.

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

And as that detail is revealed, it becomes clear either that no progress has been made, that there are contradictions coming from the Trump administration or Iran, and the whole thing falls apart.

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

Now, that won't necessarily happen in exactly that way again this time, but certainly we don't have detail and contradictions are...

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

already emerging.

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

So Trump is making these big claims, but there's not a lot yet, at least, to back them up.

133.3 View full episode →
7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

Sure.

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

So look, as far as we know, there is an extension of this ceasefire, but it's important to note that...

145.84 View full episode →
7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

Even using the word ceasefire in this context, I think we have to be careful with because, of course, the conflict has continued throughout multiple so-called ceasefires.

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

But so far as we know, there is this extension of the ceasefire.

161.32 View full episode →
7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

There is also the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, although Iranian state media is reporting that that will happen under Iranian arrangements, whatever that might mean.

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

And there's also a note that there hasn't been agreement on critical issues of nuclear enrichment, that that will be negotiated over the next 60 days.

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

So again, there's not a whole lot of detail that we have, and I don't think we should have heaps of confidence in the detail that has emerged so far.

186.93 View full episode →
7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

So the deal is supposed to be signed in Geneva on Friday, but who knows what can happen between now and then.

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

I think the timing is very interesting.

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

So this deal was announced on the same day as Trump's birthday and on the same day as his big UFC Freedom 250 event.

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

So I actually suspect that this is, as is normal with Trump, as ridiculous as it seems, that this was timed to give Trump clear air before this big UFC event, which is meant as a demonstration of his cultural and political dominance.

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

You know, it's literally being held on the South Lawn.

7am
Deal or no deal? What Trump’s peace plan really means

of the White House.

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