Dr. Emma Shortis
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Appearances Over Time
Podcast Appearances
Well, I think this is a very familiar place for us to be, Ruby.
It's something we've seen repeat itself over the last several months where Trump says we're close to a deal or even announces a deal.
And then it turns out that we have very little detail about said deal.
And as that detail is revealed, it becomes clear either that no progress has been made, that there are contradictions coming from the Trump administration or Iran, and the whole thing falls apart.
Now, that won't necessarily happen in exactly that way again this time, but certainly we don't have detail and contradictions are...
already emerging.
So Trump is making these big claims, but there's not a lot yet, at least, to back them up.
So look, as far as we know, there is an extension of this ceasefire, but it's important to note that...
Even using the word ceasefire in this context, I think we have to be careful with because, of course, the conflict has continued throughout multiple so-called ceasefires.
But so far as we know, there is this extension of the ceasefire.
There is also the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, although Iranian state media is reporting that that will happen under Iranian arrangements, whatever that might mean.
And there's also a note that there hasn't been agreement on critical issues of nuclear enrichment, that that will be negotiated over the next 60 days.
So again, there's not a whole lot of detail that we have, and I don't think we should have heaps of confidence in the detail that has emerged so far.
So the deal is supposed to be signed in Geneva on Friday, but who knows what can happen between now and then.
I think the timing is very interesting.
So this deal was announced on the same day as Trump's birthday and on the same day as his big UFC Freedom 250 event.
So I actually suspect that this is, as is normal with Trump, as ridiculous as it seems, that this was timed to give Trump clear air before this big UFC event, which is meant as a demonstration of his cultural and political dominance.
You know, it's literally being held on the South Lawn.
of the White House.