Dwarkesh
speaker
1,722 appearances
5 recordings
1 series
first heard Apr 2025
last heard 25 Nov
Dwarkesh’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 2 in all, peaking in Nov 2025 with 1.
Appearances
bumbling about and having accidents and some of those accidents are productive there are questions of like what kind of bumbling you're doing where you're working what kind of accidents you let yourself get into and then like what directed experiments do you do and some humans are better than others at that um
And then I also think at this point, it is worth thinking about like what simulations they'll have available.
Like if you have a physics simulation available, then all of these real world bottlenecks don't matter as much.
Obviously, you can't have a complete perfect physics simulation available.
But I mean, even right now, we're using simulations to design a lot of things.
And once you're super intelligent, probably have access to much better simulations than we have right now.
That's rare.
I would also point out that even when we make these random fortuitous discoveries, it is usually like an extremely smart professor who's been working on something vaguely related for years in a first world country.
Like it's not randomly distributed across everyone in the world.
You get more lottery tickets for these discoveries when you are intelligent, when you have good technology, when you're doing good work.
And part of what we're expecting is, yeah, like,
The best example I can think of is that Ozempic was discovered by looking at Gila monster venom.
And like, yeah, maybe the AIs will decide using their superior research taste and good planning that the best thing to do is just catalog every single biomolecule in the world and look at it really hard.
But that's something you can do better if you have all of this compute, if you have all of this intelligence, rather than just kind of waiting to see what things the U.S.
government might fund normal fallible human researchers to do.
One more thing I'll interject.
I think you make a great point that discoveries don't always come from where we think.
Like NVIDIA originally came from gaming.
So you can't necessarily aim at one part of the economy, expand it separately from everything else.
We do kind of predict that the superintelligences will be somewhat distributed throughout the entire economy, trying to expand everything.
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