Dwarkesh

First of all, I agree if there's only one way to do something, that makes it much harder and maybe that one way takes very long.

we're assuming that there may be more than one way to cure cancer, more than one way to do all of these things, and they'll be working on finding the one that is least bottlenecked.

Part of the reason I realize I spent too long talking about that robot example, but we do think that there are going to be

getting a lot of physical world things done very quickly.

Once you have a million robots a month, you can actually do a lot of physical world experiments.

We look at examples of people trying to get entire economies off the ground very quickly.

So, for example, China post-Dang.

I don't know.

Would you have predicted that...

20, 30 years after being kind of a communist basket case, they can actually be doing this really cutting edge bio research.

Like I realize that's a much weaker thing than we're positing, but it was done just with the human brain with a lot fewer resources than we're talking about.

Same issue with like, let's say Elon Musk and SpaceX.

I think in the year 2000, we would not have thought that somebody could move two times, five times faster than NASA.

With pretty limited resources, they were able to get like,

I think, a lot more years of technological advance in than we would have expected.

Partly that's because just Elon is crazy and never sleeps.

Like, if you look at the examples of things from SpaceX, he is breathing down every worker's neck, being like, what's this part?

How fast is this part going?

Can we do this part faster?

And the limiting factor is basically hours in Elon's day in the sense that he cannot be doing that with every employee all the time.