Dwarkesh
speaker
1,722 appearances
5 recordings
1 series
first heard Apr 2025
last heard 25 Nov
Dwarkesh’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 2 in all, peaking in Nov 2025 with 1.
Appearances
With pretty limited resources, they were able to get like,
I think, a lot more years of technological advance in than we would have expected.
Partly that's because just Elon is crazy and never sleeps.
Like, if you look at the examples of things from SpaceX, he is breathing down every worker's neck, being like, what's this part?
How fast is this part going?
Can we do this part faster?
And the limiting factor is basically hours in Elon's day in the sense that he cannot be doing that with every employee all the time.
That is kind of my model is that we have something which is smarter than Elon Musk, better at optimizing things than Elon Musk.
We have like 10,000 parts in a rocket supply chain.
How many of those parts can Elon personally like yell at people to optimize?
We could have a different copy of the superintelligence optimizing every single part full time.
I think that's just a really big speed up.
Makes sense.
Let me ask you a question.
If you accept the manufacturing numbers, let's say a million robots a month, a year after the superintelligence, and let's say also some comparable number, 10,000 a month or something of automated biology labs,
automated whatever you need to invent the next equivalent of x-ray crystallography or something do you feel like that would be enough that you're doing enough things in the world that you could expand progress this quickly or do you feel like even with that amount of manufacturing there's still going to be some other bottleneck
Yeah, this is also maybe getting too far into the godlike thing and too far away from the human concept handles.
But number one, I think we rely a lot in our scenario on this idea of research taste.
So you have a thousand different things that you could try when you're trying to create the next steam engine or whatever.
Partly you get this by...
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