Dwarkesh

I do think that AI is going to be more similar to the cases where, number one, there's a giant power imbalance.

And number two, they are just extremely distinct groups that may have different interests.

Again, assuming things go incredibly well, we've avoided doom, we've avoided having some psychopath in power who doesn't care at all, then...

After AGI, right?

Then there's this question of, like, presumably we will have a lot of wealth somewhere.

The economy will be growing at double or triple digits per year.

What do we do about that?

The thoughtful answer that I've heard is some kind of UBI.

I don't know how that would work, but presumably somebody controls these AIs, controls what they're producing, some way of distributing this in a broad-based way.

What I'm afraid of is – so we wrote this scenario.

There are a couple of other people with great scenarios.

One of them goes by L. Rudolf L. online.

I don't know his real name.

In his scenario, which when I read it, I was just, oh, yeah, obviously this is the way our society would do this.

is that there is no UBI who is just like a constant reactive attempt to protect jobs in the most venial possible way.

So things like the longshoremen union we have now where they're making way more money than they should be even though they could all easily be automated away because they're a political block and they've gotten somebody in power to say, yes, we guarantee you'll have this job almost as a feudal thief forever.

and just doing this for more and more jobs.

I'm sure the AMA will protect doctors' jobs no matter how good the AI is at curing diseases, things like that.

When I think about what we can do to prevent this,

Part of what makes this so hard for me to imagine or to model is that we do have the super intelligent AI over here answering all of our questions, doing whatever we want.