Ege Erdil

And so I think people just under-emphasize

the support that is had from the overall upgrading of your technology, of the supply chains, of various sectors that are important for that.

And people focus on just specific individuals of like, you know, Einstein had this genius insight.

And like, you know, he was...

The kind of very pivotal thing in the causal chain that resulted in these discoveries or Newton was just extremely important for discovering calculus without thinking about, well, there was this kind of all these other factors that produced lenses, that produced telescopes, that got the right data and that made people ask questions about.

dynamics and so on that motivated some of these questions.

And those are also extremely important for science, scientific and technological innovation.

And so, like, you might ask the question of, isn't it, like...

basically half of what's going to happen with AI that you scale up you know capital accumulation in China but actually that's really not like if you get both of these things to scale that gives you just much faster growth and a very different picture but at the same time if you're just asking like what would 30% growth per year like look like like in terms of like if you're just going to have an intuition for how transformative that would be in concrete terms then I think looking at China is not such a bad case like you can especially in the

I think also looking at the Industrial Revolution is pretty good.

But just in terms of the margins along which we made progress in terms of products.

The thing that didn't happen during the Industrial Revolution is we just

produced a lot more of things that people were producing prior to the industrial revolution, like producing a lot more crops and maybe a lot more kind of pre-industrial revolution style houses or whatever on farms.

Instead, what we got is along pretty much every main sector of the economy, we just had many different products that are totally different from what was being consumed prior to that.

So in transportation, in food,

I think there's a very important distinction between what is necessary to scale to get to this Dyson Sphere world and what is important.

Like in some sense, producing food is necessary.

But of course, producing food doesn't get you to Dyson Sphere, right?

So I think R&D is necessary.

but on its own isn't sufficient.