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Ege Erdil

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
529 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

I think there could be this trend where we indeed have this gradual process where AI is much more โ€“

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

important in the world economy and actually deciding and determining what happens in the world.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

But this could be beneficial for humans, where, you know, we're getting access to this, you know, much vast, much larger economy and much more advanced technological stock.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

You should expect a bunch of change if you accelerate just human change as well.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

Like you might expect different values to become much more dominant.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

You might expect people that don't discount the future as much to be much more influential because they save more and they make good investments that gives them more control.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

Higher risk tolerance, like because they're more willing to make kind of bets that maximize expected value and so get much more influence.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

So

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

Just generically accelerating human change would also result in a lot of things being lost that you might care about.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

I'm not sure.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

Actually, if you look at just like โ€“ often the idea is because this is like digital, you can preserve the information better and copy it with higher fidelity and so on.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

But actually, if you look โ€“

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

even if you look at just like information on the internet, you have this thing called link rot, which happens very quickly.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

And actually information that's digital isn't preserved for very long at all.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

Cultural change, exactly.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

So the technological maturity thing, I agree that results in this slowdown in change and growth and so on, and certain things might get more locked in relative to what preceded it.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

But then what do we do today about that?

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

What could you do to have a kind of positive impact by our lights?

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

And so asking that question, I mean, Robin Hanson had this question of what could someone do in the 1500s to have a positive impact on the world today from their point of view, knowing all they knew back then.

Dwarkesh Podcast
AGI is Still 30 Years Away โ€” Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

I think this question is even worse than that because I think the amount of change that happens between today and