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Elliott Abrams

👤 Speaker
171 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

3 Takeaways™
The Hidden Iran Risk No One Is Talking About (#297)

It's had, what, 47 years now to build the sinews of power

3 Takeaways™
The Hidden Iran Risk No One Is Talking About (#297)

throughout the country, in every ministry, in every part of the government, in every town, in the religious structures of the country, of Shia Islam in Iran.

3 Takeaways™
The Hidden Iran Risk No One Is Talking About (#297)

Why is the IRGC part of that

3 Takeaways™
The Hidden Iran Risk No One Is Talking About (#297)

You know, I guess I'd say if you think of the old Soviet Union, that role was played essentially by the KGB and the Communist Party.

3 Takeaways™
The Hidden Iran Risk No One Is Talking About (#297)

This is a regime, in essence, without a Communist Party.

3 Takeaways™
The Hidden Iran Risk No One Is Talking About (#297)

So it's the IRGC that is, I think, the central nervous system of the regime.

3 Takeaways™
The Hidden Iran Risk No One Is Talking About (#297)

Yes.

3 Takeaways™
The Hidden Iran Risk No One Is Talking About (#297)

For example, there's a lot of corruption, which they're not really attempting to stamp out.

3 Takeaways™
The Hidden Iran Risk No One Is Talking About (#297)

It seems to be a feature rather than a bug.

3 Takeaways™
The Hidden Iran Risk No One Is Talking About (#297)

And the same is true, I would say, of the clergy.

3 Takeaways™
The Hidden Iran Risk No One Is Talking About (#297)

That is, to be an Ayatollah is a way to live well.

3 Takeaways™
The Hidden Iran Risk No One Is Talking About (#297)

And there's a lot of money that goes into the religious structures, including a lot of religious foundations that throw around billions of dollars.

3 Takeaways™
The Hidden Iran Risk No One Is Talking About (#297)

Some of it, no doubt, does some good, helping poor people, for example.

3 Takeaways™
The Hidden Iran Risk No One Is Talking About (#297)

But a lot of it, I think, makes for very cushy jobs for people in the clergy, which means you don't want to rock the boat.

3 Takeaways™
The Hidden Iran Risk No One Is Talking About (#297)

Well, I wouldn't say that.

3 Takeaways™
The Hidden Iran Risk No One Is Talking About (#297)

I think I'd say first, we can't predict when regimes fall.

3 Takeaways™
The Hidden Iran Risk No One Is Talking About (#297)

It would not shock me if the regime fell in a year because we know from the recurrent uprisings that the regime is very, very widely unpopular in the country.

3 Takeaways™
The Hidden Iran Risk No One Is Talking About (#297)

But whether the final uprising happens in a year or happens in 10 years, I just think we have no way to know the answer to that.

3 Takeaways™
The Hidden Iran Risk No One Is Talking About (#297)

But for the moment, they seem to be able to control the country.

3 Takeaways™
The Hidden Iran Risk No One Is Talking About (#297)

I think what has to add, how did they do that in January?