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14390 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

I mean, at this point, we've found our GPUs to be quite reliable.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

There's infrared mortality, which you can obviously iron out on the ground.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

So you can just run them on the ground and confirm that you don't have infrared mortality with the GPUs.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

But once they start working, their actual reliability

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Once they start working and you're past the initial debug cycle of NVIDIA or whatever, or whoever's making the chips, could be Tesla AI6 chips or something like that, or it could be TPUs or traniums or whatever, the rivalries actually, they're quite reliable past a certain point.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

So I don't think the servicing thing is an issue.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

But you can mark my words, in 36 months, but probably closer to 30 months, the most economically compelling place to put AI will be space.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

And then it will get ridiculously better to be in space.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

And then the scaling, the only place you can really scale is space.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Once you start thinking in terms of what percentage of the sun's power are you harnessing, you realize you have to go to space.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

You can't scale very much on Earth.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

But by very much, to be clear, you're talking like terawatts.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Yeah.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Well, all of the United States currently uses only half a terawatt of power on average.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

So if you say a terawatt, that would be twice as much electricity as the United States currently consumes.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

So that's quite a lot.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

And can you imagine building that many data centers, that many power plants?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

It's like those who have lived in software land don't realize they're about to have a hard lesson in hardware that

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

It's actually very difficult to build power plants.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

And you don't just need power plants, you need all of the electrical equipment, you need the electrical transformers to run the transformers, the AI transformers.