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Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Because it's kind of fundamentally a consumable

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Well, yes, but your brake pads in your car are also consumable, but they last a very long time.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

So it just needs to last a very long time.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

I mean, we have brought the ship back and had it do a soft landing in the ocean.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

We've done that a few times.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

But it lost a lot of tiles.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

It was not reusable without a lot of work.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

So even though it did come to soft landing, it would not have been reusable without a lot of work.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

So it's not really reusable in that sense.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

That's the biggest problem that remains is fully reusable heat shield.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

So if you want to be able to land it, refill propellant and fly again.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

You can't do this laborious inspection of 40,000 tiles to everything.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Well, I don't know.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

I guess the urgency is going to come from where I was leading the company.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

So my sense of urgency, I have a maniacal sense of urgency.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

So that maniacal sense of urgency projects through the rest of the company.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Yeah, I'm constantly addressing the limiting factor.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

I mean, on the deadlines front, I mean, I generally actually try to

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

aim for a deadline that I at least think is at the 50th percentile.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

So it's not like an impossible deadline, but it's the most aggressive deadline I can think of that could be achieved with 50% probability.