Menu
Sign In Search Podcasts Charts People & Topics Add Podcast API Blog Pricing
14332 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

And this is why the Department of War, formerly the Department of Defense, cannot pass an audit because the information is literally not there.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Recalibrate your expectations.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Federal government expenditures are $7.5 trillion a year.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Yeah.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

What percentage, how competent do you think government is?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

The discretionary spending there is like 15%.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Yeah, but it doesn't matter.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Most of the fraud is non-discretionary.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

It's basically a fraudulent Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security, you know...

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

disability, there's a zillion government payments.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

And a bunch of these payments are, in fact, they're block transfers to the states.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

So the federal government doesn't even have the information in a lot of cases to even know if there's fraud.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Let's consider, let's like reductio ad absurdum.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

The government is perfect and has no fraud.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

What is your probability estimate of that?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Okay.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

So then would you say that the government is 90%?

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

That also would be quite generous.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

But if it's only 90%, that means that there's $750 billion a year of waste and fraud.

Dwarkesh Podcast
Elon Musk - "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

And it's not 90%.