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Eric Topol

๐Ÿ‘ค Speaker
See mentions of this person in podcasts
3673 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

But during the pandemic, we had things like the six-foot rule that was never supported by data, but yet still today.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

Like if I walk around my hospital and there's still...

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

the footprints of the six foot rule and, you know, not paying attention to the fact that this was airborne and took, you know, years before some of these things were accepted, the flatten the curve stuff with lockdowns, which, you know, I never was supportive of that, but the,

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

You know, perhaps at the worst point, the idea that hospitals would get overrun was an issue.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

But, you know, it got carried away with school shutdowns for prolonged periods.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And, you know, in some parts of the world, especially, you know, very stringent lockdowns.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

But anyway, we learned a lot.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

But perhaps one of the greatest lessons is that people's expectations about science are

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

Is that it's absolute and somehow you have this truth that's not there.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

I mean, it's getting revised.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

It's kind of on the job training.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

It's, in this case, on the pandemic revision, but very interesting.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And that gets us to, I think, the next topic, which I think is a fundamental part of the book distributed throughout the book, which is the different types of proof.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

in biomedicine, and of course, across all these domains.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

And so you take us through things like randomized trials, p-values, 95% confidence intervals, counterfactuals, causation and correlation, peer review, the works, which is great, because a lot of people have misconceptions of these things.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

So for example, randomized trials, which is like the temple of the randomized trials,

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

They're not as great as a lot of people think.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

Yes, they can help us establish cause and effect, but they're skewed because of the people who come into the trial.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

So they may not at all be a representative sample.

Ground Truths
Adam Kucharski: The Uncertain Science of Certainty

What are your thoughts about over deference to randomized trials?