Esfandia Badmengelesh
speaker
33 appearances
1 recordings
1 series
first heard Apr 2026
last heard 13 Apr
Esfandia Badmengelesh’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Apr 2026 with 1.
Appearances
But the sanctions relief is far more valuable for Iran economically than any revenues they might gain from traffic in the strait.
My view here, and it's very interesting to see that at least at the early stage, as the ceasefire came together, there was an acknowledgement from the US side that they had agreed to use the 10 points that Iran had put forward as a basis for further negotiations.
One of those points is on sanctions relief.
And very interestingly, it is sanctions relief that is not limited to the secondary sanctions that the US has imposed on Iran, but also the primary embargo, meaning the prohibition on US companies and US persons from engaging with the Iranian economy.
The reason this is important is that in the previous instance in which the US offered sanctions relief, only the secondary sanctions were lifted.
And this created a hangover effect from the sanctions in which major international banks or multinational companies that had significant operations in the US felt that because of the continuation of the US primary sanctions, they were unable to engage with Iran.
The reason I raise this is because if primary sanctions are indeed lifted...
the benefit for the Iranian economy and arguably for the regional economy in unlocking economic potential that has so far been sort of constrained, that pays for the reconstruction in and of itself.
Economic protests have become a feature of domestic politics in Iran since basically 2017, as the economic picture has darkened for ordinary people.
Protests have become more frequent.
The number of grievances have expanded.
So I fully expect that if the economy does not recover, there will be further unrest.
I also expect that the Iranian authorities will use the incredible repression that they demonstrated in January to crush those protests.
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