Felicity Evans

I'm talking about maybe being largest party here.

So he is trying to present this as a two horse race, Plaid Cymru winning.

versus reform the other parties obviously are challenging that narrative saying no under this new more proportional system it isn't just a two horse race you don't have to vote like that

Yeah, that's the probability that no party will get a majority.

You need to get 49 seats now.

And the system really is engineered to try to prevent one party getting a majority.

So then that begs the question of how all this will come out in the wash.

I mean, if Reform is the largest party led by Dan Thomas, the Welsh leader, then arguably he's got limited options in terms of who he can work with because the Welsh Conservatives have said that they would work with Reform.

The parties on the left have said that they wouldn't.

So arguably that gives Srinath Piyarweth implied more options, the Greens, who also are pro-independence for Wales, and the Liberal Democrats too, although they've said they have a red line on anything that would further the independence agenda.

So there's going to be a lot of horse trading come the results being declared, hopefully Friday night, maybe into Saturday, we'll see.

Yeah, thanks, Adam.

I mean, one of the things I'm going to be looking at is turnout, because turnout's always been pretty low at Senedd elections.

It's never hit 50% yet.

And one of the theories for that has been the lack of jeopardy in Welsh Senedd elections.

The idea that a lot of people don't bother to turn out and vote because they think it's baked in that Labour will just get back into government.

Well, obviously, this time around...

there is actual jeopardy, as we've already discussed in the Welsh Senate election.

So that's going to put this theory to the test.

So I'm going to be keeping an eye on turnout to see whether it is higher.