Fiona Woods

speaker
106 appearances 6 recordings 1 series first heard Dec 2011 last heard May 2012

Fiona Woods’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Appearances

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It's a projection based on their own analysis of things like NHS forward planning documents and intelligence from their members.
But we can't be sure how reliable that figure will turn out to be.
The government has told us they don't recognise it.
Some friends and I had breakfast in a cafe in the Yorkshire Dales last year.
Yes, Tim, believe it or not, there is such a thing. voice-verified
They've informed me that one in every thousand eggs, on average, is a double yoker. voice-verified
Unfortunately, they couldn't tell me how they get to that figure. voice-verified
I know, I know. voice-verified
I think we have to give them the benefit of the doubt, though, Tim. voice-verified
a minor tragedy it would be. voice-verified
So, let's assume they're right, that one in a thousand eggs are double yokers. voice-verified
The obvious next step is to say that if the probability of finding one egg with two yokes is one in a thousand, then to find the likelihood of discovering four in a row, you would simply multiply the probabilities together four times. voice-verified
A thousand to the power of four brings us to the grand total of one trillion. voice-verified
Yeah, new school, Tim. voice-verified
And by the way, it's called short scale. voice-verified
And the UK switched to short scale trillions in 1974. voice-verified
The point is that you can't just multiply a thousand together four times and say the chance of getting four straight double-yolked eggs is one in a trillion. voice-verified
And Tim, I've also found out that the eggs in a box are very likely to come from the same flock and that flocks are usually around the same age. voice-verified
Which, to be fair, is still a very big number. voice-verified
And there's another big factor we need to consider, the size of the egg. voice-verified
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