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Gavin Baker

👤 Person
682 total appearances

Appearances Over Time

Podcast Appearances

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
2025 Predictions with bestie Gavin Baker

Get a little work done. Need a healthy mix of apres, ski, and ski.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
2025 Predictions with bestie Gavin Baker

Get a little work done. Need a healthy mix of apres, ski, and ski.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
2025 Predictions with bestie Gavin Baker

Well, I would say I'd make two observations. First, like I'm in the bottom percentile in terms of natural athleticism, but I do have many, many thousands of hours skiing. Great. Okay. And I would just leave it at that. Yes. Oh, okay.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
2025 Predictions with bestie Gavin Baker

Well, I would say I'd make two observations. First, like I'm in the bottom percentile in terms of natural athleticism, but I do have many, many thousands of hours skiing. Great. Okay. And I would just leave it at that. Yes. Oh, okay.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
2025 Predictions with bestie Gavin Baker

Gavin, what do you think? I think it's right. I think there were a lot of people, not just centrists, but a lot of people who had been lifelong Democratic voters who voted for Trump. So I do think Trump won the centrists. Trump won everything. essentially.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
2025 Predictions with bestie Gavin Baker

Gavin, what do you think? I think it's right. I think there were a lot of people, not just centrists, but a lot of people who had been lifelong Democratic voters who voted for Trump. So I do think Trump won the centrists. Trump won everything. essentially.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
2025 Predictions with bestie Gavin Baker

I would say Trump and centrism.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
2025 Predictions with bestie Gavin Baker

I would say Trump and centrism.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
2025 Predictions with bestie Gavin Baker

I think Putin. I think Putin is going to lose bigly. So if you are Xi Jinping, you know, Xi Jinping, Russia is a client state of China at this point. If you're Xi Jinping, what is happening is now a disaster for you because Europe is starting to rearm, which will only accelerate this year.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
2025 Predictions with bestie Gavin Baker

I think Putin. I think Putin is going to lose bigly. So if you are Xi Jinping, you know, Xi Jinping, Russia is a client state of China at this point. If you're Xi Jinping, what is happening is now a disaster for you because Europe is starting to rearm, which will only accelerate this year.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
2025 Predictions with bestie Gavin Baker

That will allow America to take resources out of Europe and put them in Japan and South Korea and all over the Pacific. That makes it a lot harder for you to do what you most want to do, which is

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
2025 Predictions with bestie Gavin Baker

That will allow America to take resources out of Europe and put them in Japan and South Korea and all over the Pacific. That makes it a lot harder for you to do what you most want to do, which is

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
2025 Predictions with bestie Gavin Baker

reunify china and taiwan or invade taiwan uh let's call it what it is and i just think xi is going to begin decoupling from putin if you're trump you want to show that you're independent that you're not um enthralled to putin in any way so i think trump is going to be a lot tougher on putin than people think and i think he's going to get a very very uh a deal that's very very bad

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
2025 Predictions with bestie Gavin Baker

reunify china and taiwan or invade taiwan uh let's call it what it is and i just think xi is going to begin decoupling from putin if you're trump you want to show that you're independent that you're not um enthralled to putin in any way so i think trump is going to be a lot tougher on putin than people think and i think he's going to get a very very uh a deal that's very very bad

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
2025 Predictions with bestie Gavin Baker

for Russia and Ukraine, and you've lost half a million people, and for what?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
2025 Predictions with bestie Gavin Baker

for Russia and Ukraine, and you've lost half a million people, and for what?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
2025 Predictions with bestie Gavin Baker

But I think Trump said something very interesting about John Bolton. He said the guy was absolutely crazy, but it was awesome having him in the room when you were negotiating deals. Because people looked at this guy looking angry, red in the face, so excited to hit the nuclear button, so excited to go to war. And you ended up with much better deals.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
2025 Predictions with bestie Gavin Baker

But I think Trump said something very interesting about John Bolton. He said the guy was absolutely crazy, but it was awesome having him in the room when you were negotiating deals. Because people looked at this guy looking angry, red in the face, so excited to hit the nuclear button, so excited to go to war. And you ended up with much better deals.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
2025 Predictions with bestie Gavin Baker

So I think you're going to see probably a lot more bellicosity from the Trump administration than anyone expects. And that's just to get a good deal done. for, you know, between Russia and Ukraine. And then it's to get China to kind of decouple from Russia. So I think the in reality, I think you're right, David.

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
2025 Predictions with bestie Gavin Baker

So I think you're going to see probably a lot more bellicosity from the Trump administration than anyone expects. And that's just to get a good deal done. for, you know, between Russia and Ukraine. And then it's to get China to kind of decouple from Russia. So I think the in reality, I think you're right, David.