Gavin Friend

speaker
7,937 appearances 60 recordings 1 series first heard Sep 2024 last heard 2 Sep

Gavin Friend’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

Trend

recordings per month · last 12 months
5 · Oct OctJan 26AprJulnow

Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 29 in all, peaking in Oct 2025 with 5.

Appearances

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I mean, likely as you know, we might guess. matched
that this is because real disposable income growth slowing and um you know hits consumption elsewhere. matched
The strange thing though was that non-core sales rose a strong 0.6%. matched
Don't know why. matched
Um, Eurozone households remember have got high levels of savings. matched
I mean, that could supplement some of their spending, but it's data for March. matched
It was early in the crisis, and you know, we need to see more data to get a better handle on this. matched
And I suspect, you know, the final outcome of this is going to be European consumers hunkering down. matched
Down a little bit. matched
All the data in Europe actually wasn't that negative. matched
We had some German factory orders numbers, which were pretty good for March. matched
Um, broad gains, you know, cost capital goods, intermediate goods, consumer goods, front running of all of export orders, of course, you know, ahead of the Middle East. matched
That would have been the big driver of that. matched
Um, and actually it didn't stop uh a decline on the quarter of four point one percent. matched
But that was really matched
sort of technical because we had blowout nearly 10% growth in factory orders in Q4. matched
So I think a lot of this is is finally stuff's coming through from fiscal spending in uh in Germany. matched
Um, you know, and that's a so kind of a almost a positive story. matched
The negative story out of Europe is construction, construction PMIs coming out of the Eurozone, out of Germany, out of France. matched
They're all on the matched
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