George Davey Smith
speaker
31 appearances
2 recordings
1 series
first heard Jan 2015
last heard Jan 2015
George Davey Smith’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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Appearances
Explaining the difference in risk between the leg and the lung is of no interest to anyone.
Mendon says nothing about the contribution to cancers in the population.
It's like getting two statistics.
are two estimates which bear no relationship to each other.
And because you've got a number, applying that number to some other domain.
The subheading in Science's editorial, which was headed The Bad Look of Cancer, and the subheading was Analysis Suggests Most Cases Can't Be Prevented, that subheading is just not supported by the data, by that analysis.
So that is what's misleading.
And in the press release, the authors say that they've come up with a method which allows them to quantify the contribution of these stochastic or chance factors.
which their method doesn't.
So it's both in the journal and in the press release, and it's just not fair to attribute the misreporting of this to journalists.
They've just copied what's in the journal and in the press release.
I think the issue is that there's just a fundamental misunderstanding about whether one can partition risk in the way that's done.
There's a great difference between the risk of an individual getting cancer, you know, you getting cancer and your brother not getting cancer, for example.
as against the actual preventability of cancer.
And one doesn't say anything about the other.
Explaining the difference in risk between the leg and the lung.
is of no interest to anyone.
Mendon says nothing about the contribution to cancers in the population.
It's like getting two statistics, two estimates which bear no relationship to each other.
And because you've got a number, applying that number to some other domain.
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