Graham Allison

speaker

548 appearances 1 recordings 1 series first heard Mar 2026 last heard 9 Mar

Graham Allison’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.

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Recordings per month over the last 12 months — 1 in all, peaking in Mar 2026 with 1.

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All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg · Graham Allison on the Global Realignment: Iran, China, Israel, Greenland · 9 Mar 2026 podcast

Because the number of ways in which this could go wrong, you know, if we wake up tomorrow or today and a couple of ships have been sunk or a couple of hundred of Americans have been killed, this is going to have a very different image.

Well, I wouldn't say entirely independent.

I would think with Maduro.

So Trump, I think this again, this is my whatever armchair Trumpology, but I would say initially he thought tariffs were a magic wand.

And every leader thinks if you have a magic wand, that's fantastic.

He's tried the tariff magic wand and discovered it didn't quite have all the effects that he imagined on Liberation Day.

He then discovered the American military, which genuinely is a huge one.

And the Madero operation was just spectacular.

I mean, again, it's a military and intelligence operation.

Brilliant.

No other country in the world could even imagine doing something like that.

And that actually makes all of us stand taller.

It can also provide a little, or historically encourages hubris and an imagination that this magic wand can work in many other arenas.

I don't mind at all the proposition that every other country should take account of the fact that the U.S.

has the most remarkable military and intelligence community in the world.

And that's not a bad backdrop for China and for a China trip.

So I agree that things may not be completely disconnected.

But I think in terms of the timing, I mean, right now, when is the war going to be over?

If you talk about three or four weeks, we'll already—he'll be in China March 29th.

So my inclination, again, if we were just doing prediction markets, is that he's going to find a way to declare this over before then, because he needs a little time to get his mind set on that.

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