Greg Ip
speaker
528 appearances
8 recordings
1 series
first heard Jan 2018
last heard Sep 2024
Greg Ip’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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Appearances
The government is looking into mergers of grocery chains with an eye to preventing the sorts of concentration that might push up profit margins and prices.
But let's say in a best of all possible worlds that you were able to like undo all of the increase in profit margins that's occurred in the last few years.
You're talking at most half to one percent on the price of groceries, not something you're likely to notice.
She has proposed, for example, a subsidy to builders and developers to build more starter-level homes.
So in theory, that could encourage them to build more of the smaller homes that are increasingly scarce these days.
She's talked about a home buyer tax credit of $25,000.
Now, this would reduce the all-in cost for somebody out there buying a home, but because it would also add to housing demand, it might actually have the effect of raising housing prices.
There are smaller things that they could do.
For example, the Biden administration, of which Vice President Harris is part, has talked about finding unused federal land and turning that over to developers for building low-income housing.
And finally, the Biden administration has proposed legislation to cap rent increases at 5% for large corporate landlords.
This would require legislation, so it's unclear if that would happen.
Vice President Harris has endorsed that same idea.
But it should be noted that it's unclear that this would have any effect because there's actually been a huge surge in supply of multifamily apartment units in the last year or two.
Inflation tends to be a slow-moving force the last few years accepted.
If we have, for example, a President Trump whose tariffs and other plans tend to add to inflation pressure, the average household would indeed see a higher cost of living than they otherwise would over the next few years, and possibly slightly higher interest rates as a result.
But of course, as we've discussed, the devil's in the details, and we don't know precisely what type of tariff structure would actually emerge from a Trump administration.
Vice President Harris doesn't have any specific plans that would bear directly on inflation.
But again, inflation is primarily a consequence of large forces in the economy.
For example, if there's a global recession, we would expect the price of oil to fall, and that would lead to lower inflation for everybody.
But obviously, that is not something over which either candidate has any control.
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