Gregg Carlstrom
speaker
466 appearances
5 recordings
1 series
first heard Jun 2026
last heard 14 Sep
Gregg Carlstrom’s voice in public audio — every appearance, attributed to the second.
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recordings per month · last 12 monthsRecordings per month over the last 12 months — 5 in all, peaking in Jul 2026 with 3.
Appearances
It lifted its blockade.
of the Strait of Hormuz.
But now, because Iran is attacking ships, because it is insisting on maintaining this control, it has lost those benefits.
And so it's hard to see what Iran gains from any of this.
You have hardliners who think it's important for some ideological or principled reason.
to maintain their grip on the Strait.
But I think in reality, Hormuz only matters to Iran in terms of what it can get in trade for reopening the Strait.
And at the moment, it's not getting anything for holding the Strait.
So if it's not willing to release Hormuz in return for sanctions relief, then I think this is a short-term tactical victory.
But longer term, it's strategically questionable for the Iranians.
It has a few options, but none of them are good.
The first one is what we're seeing now, which is these limited strikes on military targets in southern Iran.
The problem here is we've had now six nights of those airstrikes on more than 300 targets.
And they haven't changed Iran's behavior.
And there's no reason to think that a seventh or an eighth or a tenth will be the one that makes a difference.
The regime has already been through six weeks of very intense American and Israeli bombing earlier in the war.
And it's not clear that some occasional bombing now is going to seriously degrade their capabilities or convince them to change their behavior.
It could.
It could go back to the sort of large-scale bombing that we saw in March and early April, but there's no guarantee that will succeed either.
America could carry out strikes on infrastructure in Iran, as Trump threatened to do
Showing 341–360 of 466 · page 18 of 24
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